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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

Total Value

$20.6

Combined PnL

-$518.38

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares577

Combined PnL-$518.99

Down2 traders

Total Value$20.6

Total Shares21

Combined PnL+$0.61

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2341-1812 (4153)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 99¢	$13.3	$13.43	+$0.13	39% 760-1197 (1957)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 27.3¢	$14.54	—	-$14.54	37% 685-1150 (1835)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 79.5¢	$6.7	$7.17	+$0.47	62% 2344-1434 (3778)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$2.56	—	-$2.56	48% 1079-1166 (2245)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	52% 3955-3700 (7655)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 40¢	$0.67	—	-$0.67	60% 2210-1484 (3694)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$0.15	—	-$0.15	33% 596-1191 (1787)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	38% 803-1329 (2132)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2341-1812 (4153)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$13.3

Value

$13.43

PnL

+$0.13

Record

39%

760-1197 (1957)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$14.54

Value

—

PnL

-$14.54

Record

37%

685-1150 (1835)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.7

Value

$7.17

PnL

+$0.47

Record

62%

2344-1434 (3778)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$2.56

Value

—

PnL

-$2.56

Record

48%

1079-1166 (2245)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

52%

3955-3700 (7655)

Invested

$0.67

Value

—

PnL

-$0.67

Record

60%

2210-1484 (3694)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

33%

596-1191 (1787)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

803-1329 (2132)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x95f83f2f...a2a44d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794477000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $13.43

13897651

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $7.17

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

blue.birds

Up — $0

aaa221

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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