Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 64%
1 arb excluded
$708.15
-$19.76
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $501.01 | $490 | -$4.21 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$246.8 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $251.01 | — | -$251.01 | |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 33% 583-1160 (1743) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $56.61 | $57.23 | +$0.62 | 39% 737-1162 (1899) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $30.69 | $35.35 | +$4.66 | 37% 667-1136 (1803) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $19.11 | — | -$19.11 | 48% 1046-1143 (2189) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $4.79 | $7.04 | +$2.25 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $5.32 | $6.41 | +$1.09 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.8¢ | $5.39 | — | -$5.39 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $8.83 | $4.32 | -$0.92 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $2.89 | $7.81 | +$4.92 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 38% 578-951 (1529) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.7¢ | $6.75 | — | -$6.75 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
Invested
$501.01
Value
$490
PnL
-$4.21
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
pspspsps5Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
33%
583-1160 (1743)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$56.61
Value
$57.23
PnL
+$0.62
Record
39%
737-1162 (1899)
Invested
$30.69
Value
$35.35
PnL
+$4.66
Record
37%
667-1136 (1803)
Invested
$19.11
Value
—
PnL
-$19.11
Record
48%
1046-1143 (2189)
Invested
$4.79
Value
$7.04
PnL
+$2.25
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
Invested
$5.32
Value
$6.41
PnL
+$1.09
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Invested
$5.39
Value
—
PnL
-$5.39
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$8.83
Value
$4.32
PnL
-$0.92
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
Invested
$2.89
Value
$7.81
PnL
+$4.92
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
38%
578-951 (1529)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
—
PnL
-$6.75
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
Down — $100
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $57.23
13897651
Down — $35.35
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
antsaslyku
Down — $7.04
uninformedfloww
Down — $6.41
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $4.32
ply-pm2
Down — $7.81