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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$735.29

Combined PnL

-$45.92

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$242.75

Total Shares243

Combined PnL+$36.12

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares212

Combined PnL-$82.04

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$522.78	$492.54	-$2.44	57% 2288-1755 (4043)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.6¢	$244.27	$492.54	+$247.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$248.61	—	-$249.84
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 45.7¢	$55.6	$83.24	+$27.64	37% 667-1136 (1803)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 46.6¢	$46.06	$59.45	+$13.39	51% 1610-1559 (3169)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 82.8¢	$48.95	$33.04	-$15.91	53% 1405-1239 (2644)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 54¢	$8.4	$15.56	+$7.16	44% 1135-1448 (2583)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 64¢	$10.88	—	-$10.88	50% 1050-1060 (2110)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 95¢	$20.3	$10	-$9.8	47% 1159-1332 (2491)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 95¢	$13.05	$9.74	-$2.83	46% 1117-1330 (2447)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 28.7¢	$35.47	—	-$11.97	52% 3913-3669 (7582)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 54¢	$8.25	$15.28	+$7.03	48% 1146-1235 (2381)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.4	$5	+$2.6	55% 1173-958 (2131)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$3.07	—	-$3.07	62% 2279-1406 (3685)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 46¢	$2.9	$6.3	+$3.4	60% 2157-1447 (3604)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 33¢	$1.7	$5.15	+$3.45	39% 737-1162 (1899)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 33¢	$0.74	—	-$0.74	47% 771-864 (1635)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 52.5¢	$45.38	—	-$45.38	37% 778-1309 (2087)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 46.6¢	$10	—	-$10	51% 1455-1384 (2839)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$522.78

Value

$492.54

PnL

-$2.44

Record

57%

2288-1755 (4043)

Both legs:

Up$244.2749.6¢+$247.4

Down$248.6150.1¢-$249.84

Invested

$55.6

Value

$83.24

PnL

+$27.64

Record

37%

667-1136 (1803)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$46.06

Value

$59.45

PnL

+$13.39

Record

51%

1610-1559 (3169)

Invested

$48.95

Value

$33.04

PnL

-$15.91

Record

53%

1405-1239 (2644)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

$15.56

PnL

+$7.16

Record

44%

1135-1448 (2583)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$10.88

Value

—

PnL

-$10.88

Record

50%

1050-1060 (2110)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$20.3

Value

$10

PnL

-$9.8

Record

47%

1159-1332 (2491)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$13.05

Value

$9.74

PnL

-$2.83

Record

46%

1117-1330 (2447)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$35.47

Value

—

PnL

-$11.97

Record

52%

3913-3669 (7582)

Invested

$8.25

Value

$15.28

PnL

+$7.03

Record

48%

1146-1235 (2381)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$2.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.6

Record

55%

1173-958 (2131)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$3.07

Value

—

PnL

-$3.07

Record

62%

2279-1406 (3685)

Invested

$2.9

Value

$6.3

PnL

+$3.4

Record

60%

2157-1447 (3604)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$1.7

Value

$5.15

PnL

+$3.45

Record

39%

737-1162 (1899)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.74

Value

—

PnL

-$0.74

Record

47%

771-864 (1635)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$45.38

Value

—

PnL

-$45.38

Record

37%

778-1309 (2087)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$10

Record

51%

1455-1384 (2839)

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x39cdca93...e0ed0e

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794471300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Up — $83.24

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $59.45

ply-pm2

Up — $33.04

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15.56

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $10

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $9.74

blue.birds

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $15.28

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