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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 43%

Total Value

$121.87

Combined PnL

-$514.74

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares561

Combined PnL-$523.89

Down8 traders

Total Value$121.87

Total Shares122

Combined PnL+$9.15

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	57% 2288-1755 (4043)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 83.6¢	$34.26	$41	+$6.74	50% 1050-1060 (2110)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 78.2¢	$36.44	$29	-$7.44	51% 1610-1559 (3169)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 55.3¢	$8.3	$15	+$6.7	55% 1173-958 (2131)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 58.4¢	$13.8	$14.63	+$0.83	52% 3913-3669 (7582)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 40.3¢	$11.79	—	-$11.79	37% 667-1136 (1803)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 56¢	$8.55	—	-$8.55	47% 1159-1332 (2491)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 72¢	$4.92	$6.84	+$1.92	37% 778-1309 (2087)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 82¢	$5.1	$6.22	+$1.12	66% 1988-1002 (2990)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	47% 1308-1484 (2792)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 68¢	$4.99	$4.18	-$0.81	62% 2279-1406 (3685)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	60% 2157-1447 (3604)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.8	—	-$0.8	39% 737-1162 (1899)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	33% 583-1160 (1743)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

57%

2288-1755 (4043)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$34.26

Value

$41

PnL

+$6.74

Record

50%

1050-1060 (2110)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$36.44

Value

$29

PnL

-$7.44

Record

51%

1610-1559 (3169)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$8.3

Value

$15

PnL

+$6.7

Record

55%

1173-958 (2131)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$13.8

Value

$14.63

PnL

+$0.83

Record

52%

3913-3669 (7582)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$11.79

Value

—

PnL

-$11.79

Record

37%

667-1136 (1803)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$8.55

Value

—

PnL

-$8.55

Record

47%

1159-1332 (2491)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.92

Value

$6.84

PnL

+$1.92

Record

37%

778-1309 (2087)

Invested

$5.1

Value

$6.22

PnL

+$1.12

Record

66%

1988-1002 (2990)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

47%

1308-1484 (2792)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.99

Value

$4.18

PnL

-$0.81

Record

62%

2279-1406 (3685)

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

60%

2157-1447 (3604)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

39%

737-1162 (1899)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

33%

583-1160 (1743)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8d61ad09...4ff929

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794470700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $41

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $29

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $15

blue.birds

Down — $14.63

13897651

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $6.84

asdaefef

Down — $6.22

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

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