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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 22%

Total Value

$135.79

Combined PnL

-$494.16

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares571

Combined PnL-$501.25

Down7 traders

Total Value$135.79

Total Shares136

Combined PnL+$7.09

Up — 22%Down — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.9¢	$504.4	—	-$498.8	57% 2288-1755 (4043)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 98.9¢	$38.71	$37.43	-$1.28	39% 737-1162 (1899)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 98¢	$49	$50	+$1	33% 583-1160 (1743)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 96¢	$16.95	$11.25	-$5.7	37% 667-1136 (1803)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 56¢	$14	$25	+$11	52% 3913-3669 (7582)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 80¢	$4.05	$5.06	+$1.01	55% 1173-958 (2131)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 97¢	$4.9	$5.05	+$0.15	66% 1988-1002 (2990)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 55¢	$1.1	$2	+$0.9	62% 2279-1406 (3685)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$2.45	—	-$2.45	38% 578-951 (1529)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$504.4

Value

—

PnL

-$498.8

Record

57%

2288-1755 (4043)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$38.71

Value

$37.43

PnL

-$1.28

Record

39%

737-1162 (1899)

Invested

$49

Value

$50

PnL

+$1

Record

33%

583-1160 (1743)

Invested

$16.95

Value

$11.25

PnL

-$5.7

Record

37%

667-1136 (1803)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$14

Value

$25

PnL

+$11

Record

52%

3913-3669 (7582)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$4.05

Value

$5.06

PnL

+$1.01

Record

55%

1173-958 (2131)

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

66%

1988-1002 (2990)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.1

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.9

Record

62%

2279-1406 (3685)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$2.45

Value

—

PnL

-$2.45

Record

38%

578-951 (1529)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5b2bc6a7...49a6ba

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794469200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $37.43

pspspsps5

Down — $50

13897651

Down — $11.25

blue.birds

Down — $25

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $5.06

asdaefef

Down — $5.05

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

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