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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$617.25

Combined PnL

-$24.32

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$122.25

Total Shares122

Combined PnL+$25.36

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares184

Combined PnL-$49.69

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$506.12	$495	-$8.97	57% 2260-1719 (3979)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$256.12	—	-$256.12
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$247.15
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 68.5¢	$73.12	$75.06	+$1.93	37% 662-1125 (1787)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 62.9¢	$33.95	—	-$33.95	53% 1383-1227 (2610)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98.8¢	$7.86	$7.96	+$0.1	67% 1964-988 (2952)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 64.3¢	$6.07	$7.23	+$1.25	62% 2249-1386 (3635)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 32¢	$4.48	$14	+$9.52	46% 1103-1315 (2418)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 33¢	$4.29	$13	+$8.71	47% 761-858 (1619)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 5.3¢	$1.69	—	-$1.69	34% 575-1141 (1716)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.15	$5	+$3.85	55% 1158-945 (2103)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 8.3¢	$4.25	—	-$4.25	39% 722-1145 (1867)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 20.6¢	$9.8	—	-$9.8	52% 3892-3651 (7543)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$506.12

Value

$495

PnL

-$8.97

Record

57%

2260-1719 (3979)

Both legs:

Down$256.1250.2¢-$256.12

Up$247.550¢+$247.15

Invested

$73.12

Value

$75.06

PnL

+$1.93

Record

37%

662-1125 (1787)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$33.95

Value

—

PnL

-$33.95

Record

53%

1383-1227 (2610)

Invested

$7.86

Value

$7.96

PnL

+$0.1

Record

67%

1964-988 (2952)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.07

Value

$7.23

PnL

+$1.25

Record

62%

2249-1386 (3635)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.48

Value

$14

PnL

+$9.52

Record

46%

1103-1315 (2418)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$4.29

Value

$13

PnL

+$8.71

Record

47%

761-858 (1619)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.69

Value

—

PnL

-$1.69

Record

34%

575-1141 (1716)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$1.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.85

Record

55%

1158-945 (2103)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.25

Value

—

PnL

-$4.25

Record

39%

722-1145 (1867)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$9.8

Value

—

PnL

-$9.8

Record

52%

3892-3651 (7543)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8579de9b...e0842b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794467700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Up — $75.06

ply-pm2

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $7.96

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $7.23

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $14

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $13

pspspsps5

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $5

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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