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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 67%

Total Value

$18.46

Combined PnL

-$503.04

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,574

Combined PnL-$505.97

Down3 traders

Total Value$18.46

Total Shares18

Combined PnL+$2.93

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$490.4	57% 2260-1719 (3979)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$8.58	—	-$8.58	48% 760-838 (1598)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 75¢	$11.24	$11.44	+$0.2	37% 662-1125 (1787)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.4¢	$2.67	—	-$2.67	34% 575-1141 (1716)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.55	$5	+$2.45	52% 3892-3651 (7543)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 86¢	$1.74	$2.02	+$0.28	62% 2249-1386 (3635)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 5.1¢	$1.83	—	-$1.83	47% 1150-1313 (2463)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	39% 722-1145 (1867)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	44% 1127-1429 (2556)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$490.4

Record

57%

2260-1719 (3979)

Invested

$8.58

Value

—

PnL

-$8.58

Record

48%

760-838 (1598)

Invested

$11.24

Value

$11.44

PnL

+$0.2

Record

37%

662-1125 (1787)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.67

Value

—

PnL

-$2.67

Record

34%

575-1141 (1716)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.45

Record

52%

3892-3651 (7543)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.74

Value

$2.02

PnL

+$0.28

Record

62%

2249-1386 (3635)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.83

Value

—

PnL

-$1.83

Record

47%

1150-1313 (2463)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

39%

722-1145 (1867)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

44%

1127-1429 (2556)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x51691f8d...f8f7b7

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794467100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0x50f7

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $11.44

pspspsps5

Up — $0

blue.birds

Down — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2.02

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

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