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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 43%
Total Value
$88.79
Combined PnL
-$502.59
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares515
Combined PnL-$498.06
Up4 traders
Total Value$88.79
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$4.54
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.8¢ | $503.94 | — | -$496.74 | 57% 2260-1719 (3979) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $38.3 | $38.34 | +$0.04 | 48% 760-838 (1598) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $20.03 | $24.9 | +$4.87 | 55% 1158-945 (2103) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $32 | $22.5 | -$9.5 | 37% 662-1125 (1787) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 83.1¢ | $6.88 | $3.06 | +$0.06 | 62% 2249-1386 (3635) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $0.98 | — | -$0.98 | 48% 1986-2186 (4172) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 52% 3892-3651 (7543) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$503.94
Value
—
PnL
-$496.74
Record
57%
2260-1719 (3979)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$38.3
Value
$38.34
PnL
+$0.04
Record
48%
760-838 (1598)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$20.03
Value
$24.9
PnL
+$4.87
Record
55%
1158-945 (2103)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$32
Value
$22.5
PnL
-$9.5
Record
37%
662-1125 (1787)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$6.88
Value
$3.06
PnL
+$0.06
Record
62%
2249-1386 (3635)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$0.98
Value
—
PnL
-$0.98
Record
48%
1986-2186 (4172)
BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
52%
3892-3651 (7543)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5b894c0f...349efd
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794466800