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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$721.21

Combined PnL

-$44.18

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$171.89

Total Shares172

Combined PnL+$14.8

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares173

Combined PnL-$58.98

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$517.35	$495.42	-$4.45	57% 2260-1719 (3979)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.5¢	$256.8	—	-$252.49
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$246.97	$495.42	+$248.04
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 94.5¢	$131.29	$139	+$7.71	39% 722-1145 (1867)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 55.8¢	$62.97	$53.9	-$9.07	37% 662-1125 (1787)
└ Up leg	Upavg 34.2¢	$18.44	$53.9	+$35.45
└ Down leg	Downavg 55.8¢	$44.52	—	-$44.52
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 43¢	$21.5	—	-$21.5	53% 1383-1227 (2610)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 53.7¢	$16.18	—	-$16.18	50% 1033-1042 (2075)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 72.8¢	$17.7	$10.09	-$5.26	55% 1158-945 (2103)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 61¢	$6.1	$10	+$3.9	60% 2128-1425 (3553)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 34¢	$2.9	$4	+$1.24	62% 2249-1386 (3635)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.58	$8.8	+$7.22	34% 575-1141 (1716)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.47	—	-$0.47	38% 576-948 (1524)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.34	—	-$0.34	48% 760-838 (1598)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 70.2¢	$20.51	—	-$20.51	52% 3892-3651 (7543)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$517.35

Value

$495.42

PnL

-$4.45

Record

57%

2260-1719 (3979)

Both legs:

Down$256.850.5¢-$252.49

Up$246.9749.9¢+$248.04

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$131.29

Value

$139

PnL

+$7.71

Record

39%

722-1145 (1867)

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$62.97

Value

$53.9

PnL

-$9.07

Record

37%

662-1125 (1787)

Both legs:

Up$18.4434.2¢+$35.45

Down$44.5255.8¢-$44.52

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$21.5

Value

—

PnL

-$21.5

Record

53%

1383-1227 (2610)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$16.18

Value

—

PnL

-$16.18

Record

50%

1033-1042 (2075)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$17.7

Value

$10.09

PnL

-$5.26

Record

55%

1158-945 (2103)

Invested

$6.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.9

Record

60%

2128-1425 (3553)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$2.9

Value

$4

PnL

+$1.24

Record

62%

2249-1386 (3635)

Invested

$1.58

Value

$8.8

PnL

+$7.22

Record

34%

575-1141 (1716)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.47

Value

—

PnL

-$0.47

Record

38%

576-948 (1524)

Invested

$0.34

Value

—

PnL

-$0.34

Record

48%

760-838 (1598)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$20.51

Value

—

PnL

-$20.51

Record

52%

3892-3651 (7543)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbe1b9d56...09115b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794466500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $139

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $10.09

aaa221

Up — $10

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $4

pspspsps5

Up — $8.8

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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