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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 22%

Total Value

$91.05

Combined PnL

-$489.57

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares521

Combined PnL-$494.36

Down7 traders

Total Value$91.05

Total Shares91

Combined PnL+$4.79

Up — 22%Down — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.4¢	$501.7	—	-$492.8	57% 2260-1719 (3979)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 95.9¢	$27.3	$24.04	-$3.26	37% 662-1125 (1787)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 93¢	$21.27	$21.26	-$0.01	39% 722-1145 (1867)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 96¢	$14.82	$15.44	+$0.62	60% 2128-1425 (3553)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 50¢	$5.72	$11.44	+$5.72	48% 1035-1129 (2164)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 86.5¢	$8.65	$10	+$1.35	55% 1158-945 (2103)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.68	$4.87	+$0.19	34% 575-1141 (1716)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 95.5¢	$3.82	$4	+$0.18	62% 2249-1386 (3635)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 14¢	$1.56	—	-$1.56	50% 1033-1042 (2075)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$501.7

Value

—

PnL

-$492.8

Record

57%

2260-1719 (3979)

Invested

$27.3

Value

$24.04

PnL

-$3.26

Record

37%

662-1125 (1787)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$21.27

Value

$21.26

PnL

-$0.01

Record

39%

722-1145 (1867)

Invested

$14.82

Value

$15.44

PnL

+$0.62

Record

60%

2128-1425 (3553)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$5.72

Value

$11.44

PnL

+$5.72

Record

48%

1035-1129 (2164)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$8.65

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.35

Record

55%

1158-945 (2103)

Invested

$4.68

Value

$4.87

PnL

+$0.19

Record

34%

575-1141 (1716)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.82

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.18

Record

62%

2249-1386 (3635)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$1.56

Value

—

PnL

-$1.56

Record

50%

1033-1042 (2075)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x05fb2afc...2ce890

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794466200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $24.04

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $21.26

aaa221

Down — $15.44

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $11.44

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $10

pspspsps5

Down — $4.87

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $4

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

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