Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Up 31%
$129.88
-$507.63
Smart Money Signal
4 of 13 top traders (31%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $500.53 | — | -$500.53 | 57% 2260-1719 (3979) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $32.64 | $32.97 | +$0.33 | 74% 897-310 (1207) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $23.34 | $27.78 | +$4.44 | 55% 1158-945 (2103) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $13.35 | $15 | +$1.65 | 39% 722-1145 (1867) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $12.29 | $14.29 | +$2 | 60% 2128-1425 (3553) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $13.36 | $13.5 | +$0.14 | 34% 575-1141 (1716) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $13.73 | $11.25 | -$2.48 | 37% 662-1125 (1787) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 61.6¢ | $4.97 | $8.06 | +$3.09 | 37% 763-1297 (2060) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $6.74 | — | -$6.74 | 52% 3892-3651 (7543) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 62% 1352-844 (2196) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.4¢ | $9.06 | — | -$9.06 | 53% 1383-1227 (2610) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $1.5 | $2.03 | +$0.53 | 62% 2249-1386 (3635) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 48% 1128-1223 (2351) |
Invested
$500.53
Value
—
PnL
-$500.53
Record
57%
2260-1719 (3979)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$32.64
Value
$32.97
PnL
+$0.33
Record
74%
897-310 (1207)
Invested
$23.34
Value
$27.78
PnL
+$4.44
Record
55%
1158-945 (2103)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$13.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.65
Record
39%
722-1145 (1867)
Invested
$12.29
Value
$14.29
PnL
+$2
Record
60%
2128-1425 (3553)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$13.36
Value
$13.5
PnL
+$0.14
Record
34%
575-1141 (1716)
Invested
$13.73
Value
$11.25
PnL
-$2.48
Record
37%
662-1125 (1787)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$8.06
PnL
+$3.09
Record
37%
763-1297 (2060)
Invested
$6.74
Value
—
PnL
-$6.74
Record
52%
3892-3651 (7543)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
62%
1352-844 (2196)
Invested
$9.06
Value
—
PnL
-$9.06
Record
53%
1383-1227 (2610)
Invested
$1.5
Value
$2.03
PnL
+$0.53
Record
62%
2249-1386 (3635)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
48%
1128-1223 (2351)