Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$129.16
-$526.92
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.8¢ | $503.04 | — | -$495.48 | 57% 2241-1691 (3932) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $66.83 | $67.5 | +$0.67 | 39% 713-1130 (1843) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 45.8¢ | $14.93 | $32.6 | +$17.67 | 60% 2106-1411 (3517) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.2¢ | $33.89 | — | -$33.89 | 37% 656-1119 (1775) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $14 | $25 | +$11 | 52% 3880-3635 (7515) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.1¢ | $17.2 | — | -$17.2 | 53% 1371-1214 (2585) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 37% 757-1285 (2042) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.66 | $4.06 | +$0.4 | 62% 2224-1373 (3597) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 51% 1422-1352 (2774) |
Invested
$503.04
Value
—
PnL
-$495.48
Record
57%
2241-1691 (3932)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$66.83
Value
$67.5
PnL
+$0.67
Record
39%
713-1130 (1843)
Invested
$14.93
Value
$32.6
PnL
+$17.67
Record
60%
2106-1411 (3517)
Invested
$33.89
Value
—
PnL
-$33.89
Record
37%
656-1119 (1775)
Invested
$14
Value
$25
PnL
+$11
Record
52%
3880-3635 (7515)
Invested
$17.2
Value
—
PnL
-$17.2
Record
53%
1371-1214 (2585)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
37%
757-1285 (2042)
Invested
$3.66
Value
$4.06
PnL
+$0.4
Record
62%
2224-1373 (3597)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
51%
1422-1352 (2774)