Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 86%
1 arb excluded
$649.5
$9.93
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $506.92 | $498.38 | +$2.7 | 57% 2241-1691 (3932) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $249.43 | — | -$248.76 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $248.53 | $498.38 | +$251.46 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 57.3¢ | $49.05 | $53.83 | +$4.78 | 37% 656-1119 (1775) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $49.01 | $49.5 | +$0.49 | 39% 713-1130 (1843) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 81.1¢ | $13.27 | $16.37 | +$3.1 | 53% 1371-1214 (2585) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $12.79 | $14.05 | +$1.26 | 47% 1145-1296 (2441) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $14.35 | $15.22 | +$0.87 | 44% 1117-1407 (2524) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 52% 3880-3635 (7515) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $1.18 | $2.15 | +$0.97 | 62% 2224-1373 (3597) |
Invested
$506.92
Value
$498.38
PnL
+$2.7
Record
57%
2241-1691 (3932)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.05
Value
$53.83
PnL
+$4.78
Record
37%
656-1119 (1775)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$49.01
Value
$49.5
PnL
+$0.49
Record
39%
713-1130 (1843)
Invested
$13.27
Value
$16.37
PnL
+$3.1
Record
53%
1371-1214 (2585)
Invested
$12.79
Value
$14.05
PnL
+$1.26
Record
47%
1145-1296 (2441)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.35
Value
$15.22
PnL
+$0.87
Record
44%
1117-1407 (2524)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
52%
3880-3635 (7515)
Invested
$1.18
Value
$2.15
PnL
+$0.97
Record
62%
2224-1373 (3597)