Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 11% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 11%
$113.8
-$493.47
Smart Money Signal
1 of 9 top traders (11%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 57% 2241-1691 (3932) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $43.36 | $44.7 | +$1.34 | 34% 571-1123 (1694) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $20.29 | $22.77 | +$2.48 | 39% 713-1130 (1843) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 52% 3880-3635 (7515) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $8.35 | $10 | +$1.65 | 55% 1146-933 (2079) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 94.6¢ | $10.27 | $7.52 | -$2.75 | 37% 656-1119 (1775) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.79 | $5.69 | +$2.9 | 47% 1845-2082 (3927) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $1.54 | $2 | +$0.46 | 62% 2224-1373 (3597) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $0.87 | $1.12 | +$0.25 | 60% 2106-1411 (3517) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
57%
2241-1691 (3932)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$43.36
Value
$44.7
PnL
+$1.34
Record
34%
571-1123 (1694)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$20.29
Value
$22.77
PnL
+$2.48
Record
39%
713-1130 (1843)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
52%
3880-3635 (7515)
Invested
$8.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.65
Record
55%
1146-933 (2079)
Invested
$10.27
Value
$7.52
PnL
-$2.75
Record
37%
656-1119 (1775)
Invested
$2.79
Value
$5.69
PnL
+$2.9
Record
47%
1845-2082 (3927)
Invested
$1.54
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.46
Record
62%
2224-1373 (3597)
Invested
$0.87
Value
$1.12
PnL
+$0.25
Record
60%
2106-1411 (3517)