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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Down 63%

Total Value

$197.51

Combined PnL

-$546.75

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 16 top traders (63%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares649
Combined PnL-$544.48
Up6 traders
Total Value$197.51
Total Shares198
Combined PnL-$2.26
Down — 63%Up — 37%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$504.3

Value

—

PnL

-$498.7

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$97.5

Value

$89.43

PnL

-$8.07

Record

37%

637-1105 (1742)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$76.7

Value

$77.47

PnL

+$0.77

Record

74%

846-295 (1141)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.98

Value

—

PnL

-$22.98

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$12.76

Value

$16.37

PnL

+$3.61

Record

39%

691-1090 (1781)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$4.42

Value

$5.19

PnL

+$0.77

Record

60%

2054-1370 (3424)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

46%

1225-1418 (2643)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.33

Value

—

PnL

-$3.33

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$3.44

Value

$4.05

PnL

+$0.61

Record

62%

2140-1336 (3476)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.6

Value

—

PnL

-$3.6

Record

47%

1112-1258 (2370)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$3.3

Record

44%

1079-1378 (2457)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.95

Value

—

PnL

-$0.95

Record

38%

560-911 (1471)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.94

Value

—

PnL

-$0.94

Record

47%

738-817 (1555)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.57

Value

—

PnL

-$0.57

Record

34%

561-1084 (1645)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.29

Value

—

PnL

-$5.29

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.82

Value

—

PnL

-$4.82

Record

37%

737-1242 (1979)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x225b7ddc...2fcaf9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794458100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$498.7
13

13897651

Up — $89.43

-$8.07

BoneOhio

Up — $77.47

+$0.77
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.98

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $16.37

+$3.61
AA

aaa221

Up — $5.19

+$0.77
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

+$0.05
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.33
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $4.05

+$0.61
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.6
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