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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 42%

Total Value

$147.72

Combined PnL

-$493.76

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares628

Combined PnL-$507.35

Down7 traders

Total Value$147.72

Total Shares148

Combined PnL+$13.59

Up — 42%Down — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 79¢	$38.3	$48.5	+$10.2	53% 1336-1174 (2510)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 99¢	$38.09	$38.47	+$0.38	74% 846-295 (1141)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 89.3¢	$31.58	$33.75	+$2.17	37% 637-1105 (1742)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$14.99	$15	+$0.02	47% 727-804 (1531)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	67% 1888-951 (2839)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	61% 1295-819 (2114)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.9	—	-$0.9	52% 3844-3594 (7438)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 79¢	$1.58	$2	+$0.42	62% 2140-1336 (3476)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$3.3	—	-$3.3	38% 560-911 (1471)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 737-1242 (1979)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$3.1	—	-$3.1	55% 1115-909 (2024)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Invested

$38.3

Value

$48.5

PnL

+$10.2

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

Invested

$38.09

Value

$38.47

PnL

+$0.38

Record

74%

846-295 (1141)

Invested

$31.58

Value

$33.75

PnL

+$2.17

Record

37%

637-1105 (1742)

Invested

$14.99

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

47%

727-804 (1531)

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.2

Record

67%

1888-951 (2839)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.2

Record

61%

1295-819 (2114)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.58

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.42

Record

62%

2140-1336 (3476)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$3.3

Record

38%

560-911 (1471)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

737-1242 (1979)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$3.1

Value

—

PnL

-$3.1

Record

55%

1115-909 (2024)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x67636987...f81609

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794457800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $48.5

BoneOhio

Down — $38.47

13897651

Down — $33.75

0x50f7

Down — $15

asdaefef

Down — $5

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

blue.birds

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

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