Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$143.03
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 44.9¢ | $486.72 | $739.88 | +$391.18 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.3¢ | $515.31 | — | -$484.42 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $120.47 | $170.57 | +$50.1 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 11.8¢ | $20.18 | $170.57 | +$150.39 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 80.9¢ | $100.29 | — | -$100.29 | |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.7¢ | $99.84 | — | -$99.84 | 37% 637-1105 (1742) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 8.4¢ | $2.21 | $26.36 | +$24.15 | 61% 1295-819 (2114) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $27 | $50 | +$23 | 47% 685-774 (1459) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 86.2¢ | $29.47 | — | -$29.47 | 47% 738-817 (1555) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $20.43 | $37.83 | +$17.4 | 50% 3912-3912 (7824) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $16.6 | $14.77 | +$6.45 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $12.96 | $25.92 | +$12.96 | 46% 686-795 (1481) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $5.2 | $6.7 | +$2.46 | 39% 691-1090 (1781) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $3.6 | $3.64 | +$0.04 | 47% 727-804 (1531) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.71 | $6.29 | +$3.59 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.4 | $10 | +$8.6 | 46% 1225-1418 (2643) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.01 | — | -$7.98 | 67% 1888-951 (2839) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0.4 | $5 | +$4.6 | 44% 1079-1378 (2457) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.04 | $3.56 | +$3.52 | 37% 737-1242 (1979) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $12.35 | — | -$12.35 | 55% 1115-909 (2024) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 76.4¢ | $20.54 | — | -$8.66 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $1.86 | $0.01 | +$1.75 | 47% 1320-1474 (2794) |
Invested
$486.72
Value
$739.88
PnL
+$391.18
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
Invested
$515.31
Value
—
PnL
-$484.42
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$120.47
Value
$170.57
PnL
+$50.1
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
Both legs:
Invested
$99.84
Value
—
PnL
-$99.84
Record
37%
637-1105 (1742)
Invested
$2.21
Value
$26.36
PnL
+$24.15
Record
61%
1295-819 (2114)
Invested
$27
Value
$50
PnL
+$23
Record
47%
685-774 (1459)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$29.47
Value
—
PnL
-$29.47
Record
47%
738-817 (1555)
Invested
$20.43
Value
$37.83
PnL
+$17.4
Record
50%
3912-3912 (7824)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.6
Value
$14.77
PnL
+$6.45
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
Invested
$12.96
Value
$25.92
PnL
+$12.96
Record
46%
686-795 (1481)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
$6.7
PnL
+$2.46
Record
39%
691-1090 (1781)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$3.64
PnL
+$0.04
Record
47%
727-804 (1531)
Invested
$2.71
Value
$6.29
PnL
+$3.59
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.6
Record
46%
1225-1418 (2643)
Invested
$9.01
Value
—
PnL
-$7.98
Record
67%
1888-951 (2839)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.6
Record
44%
1079-1378 (2457)
Invested
$0.04
Value
$3.56
PnL
+$3.52
Record
37%
737-1242 (1979)
Invested
$12.35
Value
—
PnL
-$12.35
Record
55%
1115-909 (2024)
Invested
$20.54
Value
—
PnL
-$8.66
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.75
Record
47%
1320-1474 (2794)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $739.88
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $26.36
almach
Down — $50
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $37.83
MayorMamdani
Down — $14.77
mo-money
Down — $25.92