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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 40%

Total Value

$174.15

Combined PnL

-$493.88

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares587
Combined PnL-$519.5
Down6 traders
Total Value$174.15
Total Shares174
Combined PnL+$25.62
Up — 40%Down — 60%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$514.22

Value

—

PnL

-$490.05

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$98.44

Value

$97.26

PnL

-$1.18

Record

37%

637-1105 (1742)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$42.37

Value

$30.58

PnL

-$1.43

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$22.02

Value

—

PnL

-$22.02

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$6

Value

$10

PnL

+$4

Record

51%

1380-1304 (2684)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$9.5

Value

$25

PnL

+$15.5

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.05

Value

—

PnL

-$6.05

Record

60%

2054-1370 (3424)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$3.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.1

Record

46%

1064-1272 (2336)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

39%

691-1090 (1781)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$11.54

Value

$1.31

PnL

+$2.64

Record

62%

2140-1336 (3476)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x8683c299...1023a3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794456600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$490.05
13

13897651

Down — $97.26

-$1.18
BL

blue.birds

Down — $30.58

-$1.43
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$22.02

MayorMamdani

Down — $10

+$4
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $25

+$15.5
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.05
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $10

+$6.1

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.38
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $1.31

+$2.64
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