Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 64%
1 arb excluded
$718.66
-$62.22
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $507.3 | $490.01 | -$0.78 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $243.37 | $490.01 | +$248.8 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.8¢ | $250.19 | — | -$249.58 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $70.04 | $87.13 | +$17.09 | 37% 637-1105 (1742) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $52.33 | $56.93 | +$4.6 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $51.36 | $51.88 | +$0.52 | 74% 846-295 (1141) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.6¢ | $43.53 | — | -$43.53 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $13.1 | $10.72 | -$2.38 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.91 | — | -$10.91 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
E9 0xe907...cff6<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $4.67 | $12.93 | +$8.26 | 47% 1320-1474 (2794) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 46% 1225-1418 (2643) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $3.12 | $4.06 | +$0.94 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.6¢ | $10.01 | — | -$10.01 | 47% 738-817 (1555) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.6¢ | $26.85 | — | -$26.85 | 50% 977-986 (1963) |
Invested
$507.3
Value
$490.01
PnL
-$0.78
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Both legs:
Invested
$70.04
Value
$87.13
PnL
+$17.09
Record
37%
637-1105 (1742)
Invested
$52.33
Value
$56.93
PnL
+$4.6
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$51.36
Value
$51.88
PnL
+$0.52
Record
74%
846-295 (1141)
Invested
$43.53
Value
—
PnL
-$43.53
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.1
Value
$10.72
PnL
-$2.38
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
Invested
$10.91
Value
—
PnL
-$10.91
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$12.93
PnL
+$8.26
Record
47%
1320-1474 (2794)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
46%
1225-1418 (2643)
Invested
$3.12
Value
$4.06
PnL
+$0.94
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$10.01
Value
—
PnL
-$10.01
Record
47%
738-817 (1555)
Invested
$26.85
Value
—
PnL
-$26.85
Record
50%
977-986 (1963)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $87.13
blue.birds
Down — $56.93
BoneOhio
Down — $51.88
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $10.72
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0xe907...cff6
Down — $12.93
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $4.06