Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$594.87
-$11.05
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $504.5 | $495 | -$3.45 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $247.5 | $495 | +$247.75 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $249.51 | β | -$251.2 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $49.13 | $50 | +$0.87 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 97.4Β’ | $27.41 | $28.14 | +$0.73 | 39% 691-1090 (1781) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 81.6Β’ | $18.21 | $14.6 | -$3.61 | 37% 637-1105 (1742) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 33Β’ | $3.3 | β | -$3.3 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $2.24 | $5.1 | +$2.86 | 48% 1010-1104 (2114) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 77Β’ | $1.56 | $2.03 | +$0.47 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 59Β’ | $1.44 | β | -$1.44 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 24Β’ | $0.62 | β | -$0.62 | 47% 738-817 (1555) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 5Β’ | $4 | β | -$4 | 38% 560-911 (1471) |
Invested
$504.5
Value
$495
PnL
-$3.45
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.13
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.87
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$27.41
Value
$28.14
PnL
+$0.73
Record
39%
691-1090 (1781)
Invested
$18.21
Value
$14.6
PnL
-$3.61
Record
37%
637-1105 (1742)
Invested
$3.3
Value
β
PnL
-$3.3
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
Invested
$2.24
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.86
Record
48%
1010-1104 (2114)
Invested
$1.56
Value
$2.03
PnL
+$0.47
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
Invested
$1.44
Value
β
PnL
-$1.44
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.62
Value
β
PnL
-$0.62
Record
47%
738-817 (1555)
Invested
$4
Value
β
PnL
-$4
Record
38%
560-911 (1471)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Up β $50

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $28.14
13897651
Up β $14.6
blue.birds
CTRDown β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $5.1
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $2.03
aaa221
CTRDown β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0