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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$619.87

Combined PnL

$1.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$119.87

Total Shares120

Combined PnL+$9.86

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares85

Combined PnL-$8.07

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$509	$500	-$2	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.8¢	$253.92	$500	+$248
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 87.2¢	$37.29	$27.5	-$9.79	37% 637-1105 (1742)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 70¢	$22.03	$31.46	+$9.44	50% 977-986 (1963)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 88¢	$29.54	$33.56	+$4.02	53% 1336-1174 (2510)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.9¢	$0.85	—	-$0.85	34% 561-1084 (1645)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 70¢	$7	$10	+$3	48% 1088-1178 (2266)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 69¢	$4.86	$7.04	+$2.18	37% 737-1242 (1979)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 82¢	$4.35	$5.3	+$0.95	55% 1115-909 (2024)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	62% 2140-1336 (3476)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 7.9¢	$2.75	—	-$2.75	52% 3844-3594 (7438)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 15.6¢	$4.47	—	-$4.47	39% 691-1090 (1781)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$509

Value

$500

PnL

-$2

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250

Up$253.9250.8¢+$248

Invested

$37.29

Value

$27.5

PnL

-$9.79

Record

37%

637-1105 (1742)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$22.03

Value

$31.46

PnL

+$9.44

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

Invested

$29.54

Value

$33.56

PnL

+$4.02

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.85

Value

—

PnL

-$0.85

Record

34%

561-1084 (1645)

Invested

$7

Value

$10

PnL

+$3

Record

48%

1088-1178 (2266)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.86

Value

$7.04

PnL

+$2.18

Record

37%

737-1242 (1979)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$4.35

Value

$5.3

PnL

+$0.95

Record

55%

1115-909 (2024)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

62%

2140-1336 (3476)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$2.75

Value

—

PnL

-$2.75

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.47

Value

—

PnL

-$4.47

Record

39%

691-1090 (1781)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb7271385...6ac19f

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794455100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Up — $27.5

uninformedfloww

Up — $31.46

ply-pm2

Up — $33.56

pspspsps5

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $10

antsaslyku

Up — $7.04

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $5.3

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

blue.birds

Down — $0

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