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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 85%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$816.81

Combined PnL

$58.62

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 13 top traders (85%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$764.55

Total Shares765

Combined PnL+$61.79

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares49

Combined PnL-$3.17

Up — 85%Down — 15%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 49.9¢	$508.04	$495.64	+$7.96	58% 2058-1520 (3578)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 52.6¢	$69.55	$72.01	+$2.46	52% 3819-3574 (7393)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99¢	$51.24	$51.76	+$0.52	74% 773-277 (1050)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$30.43	$52.26	+$21.84	37% 628-1091 (1719)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$26.22	$52.26	+$26.04
└ Down leg	Downavg 10.5¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 43.1¢	$43.4	$74.69	+$31.29	53% 1273-1127 (2400)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 62.5¢	$16.88	$18	+$1.12	50% 1323-1316 (2639)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 91¢	$10.24	$11.25	+$1.01	44% 1012-1265 (2277)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 81¢	$7.92	$8	+$0.14	62% 2042-1276 (3318)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 90¢	$6.99	$7.77	+$0.78	43% 227-296 (523)
SU suntori<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.67	$5.43	+$0.76	—
ohioism<$100	Upavg 20¢	$2.8	$10	+$7.2	49% 1034-1095 (2129)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	39% 676-1067 (1743)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 14.5¢	$1.45	$10	+$8.55	46% 569-681 (1250)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	—

Invested

$508.04

Value

$495.64

PnL

+$7.96

Record

58%

2058-1520 (3578)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$69.55

Value

$72.01

PnL

+$2.46

Record

52%

3819-3574 (7393)

Invested

$51.24

Value

$51.76

PnL

+$0.52

Record

74%

773-277 (1050)

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$30.43

Value

$52.26

PnL

+$21.84

Record

37%

628-1091 (1719)

Both legs:

Up$26.2250.2¢+$26.04

Down$4.210.5¢-$4.2

Invested

$43.4

Value

$74.69

PnL

+$31.29

Record

53%

1273-1127 (2400)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$16.88

Value

$18

PnL

+$1.12

Record

50%

1323-1316 (2639)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$10.24

Value

$11.25

PnL

+$1.01

Record

44%

1012-1265 (2277)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.14

Record

62%

2042-1276 (3318)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$6.99

Value

$7.77

PnL

+$0.78

Record

43%

227-296 (523)

Invested

$4.67

Value

$5.43

PnL

+$0.76

Record

—

Invested

$2.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.2

Record

49%

1034-1095 (2129)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

39%

676-1067 (1743)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$1.45

Value

$10

PnL

+$8.55

Record

46%

569-681 (1250)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

—

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 13 top traders (85%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe2b5b7c8...9b1f54

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794454200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $495.64

blue.birds

Up — $72.01

BoneOhio

Up — $51.76

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $74.69

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $18

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $11.25

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $8

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $7.77

suntori

Up — $5.43

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