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Down
OhioRiskManagement<$100UpUpDownUp
cryingbabydicer87<$100UpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 50%
Total Value
$119.49
Combined PnL
-$506.68
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares567
Combined PnL-$510.85
Up4 traders
Total Value$119.49
Total Shares119
Combined PnL+$4.17
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.3¢ | $501.4 | — | -$499.2 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 94.6¢ | $82.07 | $85.22 | +$3.2 | 39% 676-1067 (1743) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $24.19 | $23.55 | -$0.64 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.2¢ | $10.87 | — | -$10.87 | 37% 628-1091 (1719) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $8.36 | $8 | -$0.35 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $0.76 | $2.72 | +$1.96 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $0.72 | — | -$0.72 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 718-1188 (1906) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$501.4
Value
—
PnL
-$499.2
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$82.07
Value
$85.22
PnL
+$3.2
Record
39%
676-1067 (1743)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$24.19
Value
$23.55
PnL
-$0.64
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$10.87
Value
—
PnL
-$10.87
Record
37%
628-1091 (1719)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$8.36
Value
$8
PnL
-$0.35
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$0.76
Value
$2.72
PnL
+$1.96
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
—
PnL
-$0.72
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
718-1188 (1906)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdbc29b92...2489f6
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794453900