Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$640.67
-$13.79
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $494.99 | -$1.05 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $247.49 | $494.99 | +$248.95 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 95.3¢ | $67.41 | $55.01 | -$12.4 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $50.34 | $52.67 | +$2.33 | 37% 628-1091 (1719) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $34.71 | $33 | -$1.39 | 39% 676-1067 (1743) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 43% 227-296 (523) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $5.55 | $5 | +$0.6 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 34% 554-1063 (1617) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
Invested
$500
Value
$494.99
PnL
-$1.05
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.41
Value
$55.01
PnL
-$12.4
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
Invested
$50.34
Value
$52.67
PnL
+$2.33
Record
37%
628-1091 (1719)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$34.71
Value
$33
PnL
-$1.39
Record
39%
676-1067 (1743)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
43%
227-296 (523)
Invested
$5.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.6
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
34%
554-1063 (1617)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)