Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$92.69
-$11.29
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $44.89 | $45 | +$0.11 | 37% 628-1091 (1719) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $20.41 | $20.69 | +$0.27 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $12.83 | — | -$12.83 | 48% 1454-1600 (3054) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $16.08 | $22.97 | +$6.89 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84.4¢ | $3.4 | $4.03 | +$0.63 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $0.19 | — | -$0.19 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 34% 554-1063 (1617) |
Invested
$44.89
Value
$45
PnL
+$0.11
Record
37%
628-1091 (1719)
Invested
$20.41
Value
$20.69
PnL
+$0.27
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
Invested
$12.83
Value
—
PnL
-$12.83
Record
48%
1454-1600 (3054)
Invested
$16.08
Value
$22.97
PnL
+$6.89
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Invested
$3.4
Value
$4.03
PnL
+$0.63
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.19
Value
—
PnL
-$0.19
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
34%
554-1063 (1617)