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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 58%

Total Value

$52.74

Combined PnL

-$119.35

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares190

Combined PnL-$142.23

Up5 traders

Total Value$52.74

Total Shares53

Combined PnL+$22.87

Down — 58%Up — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 61.3¢	$69.54	—	-$69.54	53% 1258-1114 (2372)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 34.1¢	$19.53	—	-$19.53	36% 617-1088 (1705)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$18.78	$20.63	+$1.85	62% 2020-1262 (3282)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 36.3¢	$28.86	—	-$28.86	52% 3801-3556 (7357)
F8 0xf8af...54c6<$100	Upavg 37¢	$3.8	$10.27	+$6.47	—
D8 0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100	Downavg 74¢	$14.23	—	-$14.23	—
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 53.8¢	$4.56	$8.47	+$3.91	38% 709-1165 (1874)
5E 0x5e8e...8212<$100	Upavg 27.8¢	$2.33	$8.37	+$6.04	—
E9 0xe907...cff6CTR<$100	Downavg 68¢	$4.67	—	-$4.67	—
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$3.3	—	-$3.3	44% 990-1249 (2239)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Upavg 28¢	$2.8	$5	+$4.6	58% 2028-1497 (3525)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	48% 1014-1081 (2095)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$69.54

Value

—

PnL

-$69.54

Record

53%

1258-1114 (2372)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$19.53

Value

—

PnL

-$19.53

Record

36%

617-1088 (1705)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$18.78

Value

$20.63

PnL

+$1.85

Record

62%

2020-1262 (3282)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$28.86

Value

—

PnL

-$28.86

Record

52%

3801-3556 (7357)

0xf8af...54c6<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

$10.27

PnL

+$6.47

Record

—

0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100

Invested

$14.23

Value

—

PnL

-$14.23

Record

—

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.56

Value

$8.47

PnL

+$3.91

Record

38%

709-1165 (1874)

0x5e8e...8212<$100

Invested

$2.33

Value

$8.37

PnL

+$6.04

Record

—

0xe907...cff6CTR<$100

Invested

$4.67

Value

—

PnL

-$4.67

Record

—

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$3.3

Record

44%

990-1249 (2239)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$2.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$4.6

Record

58%

2028-1497 (3525)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

48%

1014-1081 (2095)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xafdb4486...425b5d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794452100

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $0

13897651

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20.63

blue.birds

Down — $0

0xf8af...54c6

Up — $10.27

0xd8f1...74a9

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $8.47

0x5e8e...8212

Up — $8.37

0xe907...cff6

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

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