Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Up 44%
$283.95
-$183.29
Smart Money Signal
8 of 18 top traders (44%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 35.2¢ | $89.72 | $148.06 | +$58.34 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
13 13897651CTR | Upavg 80.6¢ | $131.68 | — | -$131.68 | 36% 617-1088 (1705) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 50.7¢ | $103.07 | — | -$103.07 | 52% 3801-3556 (7357) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $70.24 | — | -$70.24 | 50% 1317-1303 (2620) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.32 | $33 | +$31.68 | 39% 666-1044 (1710) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 47.4¢ | $13.03 | $27.47 | +$14.44 | 38% 709-1165 (1874) |
F8 0xf8af...54c6CTR<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $10.3 | — | -$10.15 | — |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $11.25 | $25.57 | +$14.32 | 47% 593-667 (1260) |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $6.58 | — | -$6.58 | — |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $4.6 | $10 | +$5.4 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
BA 0xba67...4727<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $2.79 | $9 | +$6.21 | — |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 66% 1776-921 (2697) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9¢ | $4.77 | — | -$4.77 | 61% 1240-802 (2042) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 85.8¢ | $24.07 | — | -$9.21 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
1B 0x1b41...0b56<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $2.75 | $10.19 | +$7.44 | — |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.8 | $7.82 | +$7.02 | 58% 2028-1497 (3525) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $0.35 | $1.35 | +$1 | — |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.23 | $11.5 | +$11.27 | 34% 549-1045 (1594) |
Invested
$89.72
Value
$148.06
PnL
+$58.34
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
Invested
$131.68
Value
—
PnL
-$131.68
Record
36%
617-1088 (1705)
Invested
$103.07
Value
—
PnL
-$103.07
Record
52%
3801-3556 (7357)
Invested
$70.24
Value
—
PnL
-$70.24
Record
50%
1317-1303 (2620)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
$33
PnL
+$31.68
Record
39%
666-1044 (1710)
Invested
$13.03
Value
$27.47
PnL
+$14.44
Record
38%
709-1165 (1874)
Invested
$10.3
Value
—
PnL
-$10.15
Record
—
Invested
$11.25
Value
$25.57
PnL
+$14.32
Record
47%
593-667 (1260)
Invested
$6.58
Value
—
PnL
-$6.58
Record
—
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.4
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
Invested
$2.79
Value
$9
PnL
+$6.21
Record
—
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
66%
1776-921 (2697)
Invested
$4.77
Value
—
PnL
-$4.77
Record
61%
1240-802 (2042)
Invested
$24.07
Value
—
PnL
-$9.21
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$10.19
PnL
+$7.44
Record
—
Invested
$1.8
Value
$7.82
PnL
+$7.02
Record
58%
2028-1497 (3525)
Invested
$0.35
Value
$1.35
PnL
+$1
Record
—
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.23
Value
$11.5
PnL
+$11.27
Record
34%
549-1045 (1594)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $148.06
13897651
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $33
antsaslyku
Down — $27.47
0xf8af...54c6
CTRUp — $0
PBot-5
Down — $25.57
0x5d4a...55d3
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $10