Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 40%
1 arb excluded
$662.67
-$27.35
Smart Money Signal
6 of 15 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 64.8¢ | $419.67 | $411.97 | +$81.8 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Downavg 73.6¢ | $59.17 | $79.71 | +$20.54 | 36% 617-1088 (1705) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 13.1¢ | $10.42 | $79.71 | +$69.29 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 73.6¢ | $48.75 | — | -$48.75 | |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $45 | $50 | +$5 | 50% 3878-3890 (7768) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $45 | $50 | +$5 | 47% 654-750 (1404) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $44.5 | $50 | +$5.5 | 46% 656-776 (1432) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $83.4 | — | -$52.63 | 52% 3801-3556 (7357) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $32.33 | — | -$32.33 | 34% 549-1045 (1594) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.19 | — | -$4.19 | 66% 1776-921 (2697) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.19 | — | -$4.19 | 61% 1240-802 (2042) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $34.22 | — | -$29.47 | 39% 666-1044 (1710) |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3<$100 | Upavg 9.1¢ | $1 | $11 | +$10 | — |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $6.2 | — | -$6.2 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $13.96 | — | -$0.97 | 38% 709-1165 (1874) |
5E 0x5e8e...8212CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | — |
BA 0xba67...4727<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $2.3 | $10 | +$7.7 | — |
F8 0xf8af...54c6CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.4¢ | $12.15 | — | -$12.15 | — |
Invested
$419.67
Value
$411.97
PnL
+$81.8
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
Invested
$59.17
Value
$79.71
PnL
+$20.54
Record
36%
617-1088 (1705)
Both legs:
Invested
$45
Value
$50
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
3878-3890 (7768)
Invested
$45
Value
$50
PnL
+$5
Record
47%
654-750 (1404)
Invested
$44.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$5.5
Record
46%
656-776 (1432)
Invested
$83.4
Value
—
PnL
-$52.63
Record
52%
3801-3556 (7357)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$32.33
Value
—
PnL
-$32.33
Record
34%
549-1045 (1594)
Invested
$4.19
Value
—
PnL
-$4.19
Record
66%
1776-921 (2697)
Invested
$4.19
Value
—
PnL
-$4.19
Record
61%
1240-802 (2042)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$34.22
Value
—
PnL
-$29.47
Record
39%
666-1044 (1710)
Invested
$1
Value
$11
PnL
+$10
Record
—
Invested
$6.2
Value
—
PnL
-$6.2
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
Invested
$13.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.97
Record
38%
709-1165 (1874)
Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
—
Invested
$2.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.7
Record
—
Invested
$12.15
Value
—
PnL
-$12.15
Record
—