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UpDownUpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$28.57
Combined PnL
-$69.1
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares139
Combined PnL-$79.73
Down3 traders
Total Value$28.57
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$10.63
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $58.53 | — | -$58.53 | 36% 617-1088 (1705) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73.9¢ | $14.94 | $14 | -$0.35 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.3¢ | $14.75 | — | -$14.75 | 52% 3801-3556 (7357) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $5.22 | $9.16 | +$3.94 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
1B 0x1b41...0b56CTR<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $6.45 | — | -$6.45 | — |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $10.68 | $5.42 | +$7.04 | 58% 2028-1497 (3525) |
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$58.53
Value
—
PnL
-$58.53
Record
36%
617-1088 (1705)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$14.94
Value
$14
PnL
-$0.35
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100Invested
$14.75
Value
—
PnL
-$14.75
Record
52%
3801-3556 (7357)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$5.22
Value
$9.16
PnL
+$3.94
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
1B
0x1b41...0b56CTR<$100Invested
$6.45
Value
—
PnL
-$6.45
Record
—
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$10.68
Value
$5.42
PnL
+$7.04
Record
58%
2028-1497 (3525)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x947e91d1...953dc9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794447900