Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 54%

Total Value

$159.15

Combined PnL

-$3.07

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$159.15

Total Shares159

Combined PnL+$21.48

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares317

Combined PnL-$24.55

Up — 46%Down — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 78.8¢	$45.92	$58.25	+$12.33	38% 443-733 (1176)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 78.5¢	$47.14	$47.55	+$0.42	36% 597-1076 (1673)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 78.7¢	$18.69	$23.75	+$5.06	53% 1226-1085 (2311)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 83.5¢	$14.6	$14.35	-$0.25	52% 3766-3522 (7288)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 73¢	$8.6	$10	+$1.4	49% 3456-3566 (7022)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 15.5¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	50% 732-740 (1472)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	58% 1973-1454 (3427)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 52¢	$2.73	$5.25	+$2.52	48% 583-642 (1225)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	48% 980-1048 (2028)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.8¢	$3.8	—	-$3.8	35% 538-1000 (1538)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 8.5¢	$7.4	—	-$7.4	40% 649-994 (1643)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 4.3¢	$2.65	—	-$2.65	50% 1269-1265 (2534)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$1.5	—	-$1.5	44% 955-1216 (2171)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$45.92

Value

$58.25

PnL

+$12.33

Record

38%

443-733 (1176)

Invested

$47.14

Value

$47.55

PnL

+$0.42

Record

36%

597-1076 (1673)

Invested

$18.69

Value

$23.75

PnL

+$5.06

Record

53%

1226-1085 (2311)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$14.6

Value

$14.35

PnL

-$0.25

Record

52%

3766-3522 (7288)

Invested

$8.6

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.4

Record

49%

3456-3566 (7022)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

50%

732-740 (1472)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

58%

1973-1454 (3427)

Invested

$2.73

Value

$5.25

PnL

+$2.52

Record

48%

583-642 (1225)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

48%

980-1048 (2028)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

35%

538-1000 (1538)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.4

Record

40%

649-994 (1643)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.65

Value

—

PnL

-$2.65

Record

50%

1269-1265 (2534)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

44%

955-1216 (2171)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xf9a6bca9...e324d9

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794442800

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $58.25

13897651

Up — $47.55

ply-pm2

Up — $23.75

blue.birds

Up — $14.35

asdcaxz

Up — $10

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

PBot-5

Up — $5.25

ohioism

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket