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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$204.89

Combined PnL

-$1.63

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$204.89

Total Shares205

Combined PnL+$10.68

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares66

Combined PnL-$12.31

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 71.8¢	$72.02	$80.84	+$8.82	36% 597-1076 (1673)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 63.1¢	$52.78	$60.54	+$13.36	49% 3456-3566 (7022)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 87¢	$55.32	$45.52	-$6.77	50% 1269-1265 (2534)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 65¢	$22.72	$18	-$4.72	53% 1226-1085 (2311)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 33¢	$3.3	—	-$3.3	58% 1973-1454 (3427)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	40% 649-994 (1643)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 10.1¢	$3.2	—	-$3.2	52% 3766-3522 (7288)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	48% 980-1048 (2028)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 22.4¢	$3.9	—	-$3.9	50% 732-740 (1472)

Invested

$72.02

Value

$80.84

PnL

+$8.82

Record

36%

597-1076 (1673)

Invested

$52.78

Value

$60.54

PnL

+$13.36

Record

49%

3456-3566 (7022)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$55.32

Value

$45.52

PnL

-$6.77

Record

50%

1269-1265 (2534)

Invested

$22.72

Value

$18

PnL

-$4.72

Record

53%

1226-1085 (2311)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$3.3

Record

58%

1973-1454 (3427)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

40%

649-994 (1643)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$3.2

Value

—

PnL

-$3.2

Record

52%

3766-3522 (7288)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

48%

980-1048 (2028)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$3.9

Value

—

PnL

-$3.9

Record

50%

732-740 (1472)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x756fdd47...10f0b8

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794442200

Traders in this Market

13897651

Up — $80.84

asdcaxz

Up — $60.54

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $45.52

ply-pm2

Up — $18

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

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