Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$297.48
-$131.57
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Downavg 42.3¢ | $116.92 | $138.99 | +$30.65 | 52% 3766-3522 (7288) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 57.2¢ | $127.94 | — | -$120.18 | 50% 1269-1265 (2534) |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 55.4¢ | $90.75 | $78.69 | -$12.06 | 36% 597-1076 (1673) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.6¢ | $33.51 | $78.69 | +$45.17 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.4¢ | $57.24 | — | -$57.24 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.5¢ | $80.71 | — | -$80.71 | 53% 1226-1085 (2311) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $36.59 | — | -$36.59 | 49% 3456-3566 (7022) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 6.1¢ | $2.25 | $37 | +$34.75 | 40% 649-994 (1643) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 36.2¢ | $7.87 | $21.76 | +$13.89 | 44% 955-1216 (2171) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.05 | $21.05 | +$20 | 35% 538-1000 (1538) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4¢ | $16.1 | — | +$6.6 | 58% 1973-1454 (3427) |
Invested
$116.92
Value
$138.99
PnL
+$30.65
Record
52%
3766-3522 (7288)
Invested
$127.94
Value
—
PnL
-$120.18
Record
50%
1269-1265 (2534)
Invested
$90.75
Value
$78.69
PnL
-$12.06
Record
36%
597-1076 (1673)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.71
Value
—
PnL
-$80.71
Record
53%
1226-1085 (2311)
Invested
$36.59
Value
—
PnL
-$36.59
Record
49%
3456-3566 (7022)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
$37
PnL
+$34.75
Record
40%
649-994 (1643)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.87
Value
$21.76
PnL
+$13.89
Record
44%
955-1216 (2171)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
$21.05
PnL
+$20
Record
35%
538-1000 (1538)
Invested
$16.1
Value
—
PnL
+$6.6
Record
58%
1973-1454 (3427)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Down — $138.99
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
13897651
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $37
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $21.76
pspspsps5
Down — $21.05
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0