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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$270.94

Combined PnL

-$295.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares510

Combined PnL-$379.97

Up5 traders

Total Value$89.49

Total Shares89

Combined PnL+$83.99

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BL blue.birdsARB<$100	Downavg 48.4¢	$187.67	$181.44	-$6.23	52% 3766-3522 (7288)
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.4¢	$95.08	—	-$95.08
└ Up leg	Upavg 51¢	$92.6	$181.44	+$88.84
13 13897651CTR	Downavg 54.8¢	$152.02	—	-$152.02	36% 597-1076 (1673)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 20.3¢	$50.35	—	-$50.35	53% 1226-1085 (2311)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 58.1¢	$151.58	—	-$149.5	50% 1269-1265 (2534)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 60.3¢	$31.3	—	-$28.1	49% 3456-3566 (7022)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 22¢	$2.2	$10	+$7.8	44% 955-1216 (2171)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 10.9¢	$4.38	$40	+$35.62	35% 538-1000 (1538)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 14¢	$3.5	$25	+$21.5	50% 732-740 (1472)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Upavg 31.7¢	$13.59	$6.49	+$12.67	58% 1973-1454 (3427)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 20¢	$1.6	$8	+$6.4	40% 649-994 (1643)

blue.birdsARB<$100

Invested

$187.67

Value

$181.44

PnL

-$6.23

Record

52%

3766-3522 (7288)

Both legs:

Down$95.0848.4¢-$95.08

Up$92.651¢+$88.84

Invested

$152.02

Value

—

PnL

-$152.02

Record

36%

597-1076 (1673)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$50.35

Value

—

PnL

-$50.35

Record

53%

1226-1085 (2311)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$151.58

Value

—

PnL

-$149.5

Record

50%

1269-1265 (2534)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$31.3

Value

—

PnL

-$28.1

Record

49%

3456-3566 (7022)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$2.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.8

Record

44%

955-1216 (2171)

Invested

$4.38

Value

$40

PnL

+$35.62

Record

35%

538-1000 (1538)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$3.5

Value

$25

PnL

+$21.5

Record

50%

732-740 (1472)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$13.59

Value

$6.49

PnL

+$12.67

Record

58%

1973-1454 (3427)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$1.6

Value

$8

PnL

+$6.4

Record

40%

649-994 (1643)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xace5aa22...9fd2f2

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794440100

Traders in this Market

blue.birds

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

pspspsps5

Up — $40

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

ByteBadger92

Up — $6.49

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $8

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