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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 73%

Total Value

$92.86

Combined PnL

-$74.73

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$92.86
Total Shares93
Combined PnL+$4.35
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares241
Combined PnL-$79.08
Up — 27%Down — 73%
13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$57.51

Value

$48.28

PnL

-$9.23

Record

36%

589-1068 (1657)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$22.55

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.45

Record

52%

3739-3509 (7248)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$25.66

Value

—

PnL

-$25.66

Record

53%

1206-1070 (2276)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$10.29

Value

$19.58

PnL

+$11.13

Record

40%

643-968 (1611)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.82

Value

—

PnL

-$22.82

Record

49%

706-726 (1432)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$21.67

Value

—

PnL

-$13.23

Record

49%

3432-3549 (6981)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.21

Value

—

PnL

-$5.21

Record

50%

1263-1254 (2517)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.79

Value

—

PnL

-$6.79

Record

74%

723-254 (977)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.89

Value

—

PnL

-$0.89

Record

58%

1948-1427 (3375)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.89

Value

—

PnL

-$3.89

Record

35%

531-973 (1504)

MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

45%

619-745 (1364)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7cd04e78...d8fc1e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794438000

Traders in this Market

13

13897651

Up — $48.28

-$9.23
BL

blue.birds

Up — $25

+$2.45
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$25.66

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $19.58

+$11.13
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.82
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$13.23
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.21

BoneOhio

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.79
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.89

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.89
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