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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$409.45

Combined PnL

$68.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$337.45

Total Shares337

Combined PnL+$81.35

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares35

Combined PnL-$13.29

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 42¢	$85.68	$72	-$13.67	53% 1206-1070 (2276)
└ Up leg	Upavg 46.7¢	$33.6	$72	+$38.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 42¢	$52.08	—	-$52.08
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 51.8¢	$65.07	$77.52	+$12.44	52% 3739-3509 (7248)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 65.7¢	$44.3	$50.88	+$6.58	36% 589-1068 (1657)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$46.78	$46.73	-$0.05	47% 593-674 (1267)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 52.4¢	$44.07	$84.18	+$40.11	48% 950-1050 (2000)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 90.5¢	$37.82	$41.81	+$3.99	40% 643-968 (1611)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 64.4¢	$12.66	$19.45	+$6.79	49% 3432-3549 (6981)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 32¢	$5.4	$16.88	+$11.48	74% 723-254 (977)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 33.6¢	$2.35	—	-$2.35	38% 687-1125 (1812)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 22.2¢	$2.78	—	-$2.78	49% 706-726 (1432)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	44% 945-1197 (2142)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$11.15	—	-$5.85	58% 1948-1427 (3375)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$85.68

Value

$72

PnL

-$13.67

Record

53%

1206-1070 (2276)

Both legs:

Up$33.646.7¢+$38.4

Down$52.0842¢-$52.08

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$65.07

Value

$77.52

PnL

+$12.44

Record

52%

3739-3509 (7248)

Invested

$44.3

Value

$50.88

PnL

+$6.58

Record

36%

589-1068 (1657)

Invested

$46.78

Value

$46.73

PnL

-$0.05

Record

47%

593-674 (1267)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$44.07

Value

$84.18

PnL

+$40.11

Record

48%

950-1050 (2000)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$37.82

Value

$41.81

PnL

+$3.99

Record

40%

643-968 (1611)

Invested

$12.66

Value

$19.45

PnL

+$6.79

Record

49%

3432-3549 (6981)

Invested

$5.4

Value

$16.88

PnL

+$11.48

Record

74%

723-254 (977)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

38%

687-1125 (1812)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$2.78

Value

—

PnL

-$2.78

Record

49%

706-726 (1432)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

44%

945-1197 (2142)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$11.15

Value

—

PnL

-$5.85

Record

58%

1948-1427 (3375)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc4e4033d...3cda14

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794437700

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

blue.birds

Up — $77.52

13897651

Up — $50.88

0x50f7

Up — $46.73

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $84.18

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $41.81

asdcaxz

Up — $19.45

BoneOhio

Up — $16.88

antsaslyku

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

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