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Up
pspspsps5<$100UpDownDownUpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 63%
Total Value
$108.97
Combined PnL
-$48.25
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$108.97
Total Shares109
Combined PnL-$9.9
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares95
Combined PnL-$38.35
Up — 38%Down — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $72.42 | $60.11 | -$12.31 | 35% 579-1062 (1641) |
pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $43.41 | $44.7 | +$1.29 | 35% 522-960 (1482) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 69.8¢ | $20.22 | — | -$20.22 | 53% 1194-1050 (2244) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $14.8 | — | -$10 | 49% 3410-3533 (6943) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 73.1¢ | $3.04 | $4.16 | +$1.12 | 61% 1965-1241 (3206) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $2.9 | — | -$2.9 | 58% 1912-1406 (3318) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.61 | — | -$0.61 | 46% 582-670 (1252) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 38% 680-1107 (1787) |
13
13897651<$100Invested
$72.42
Value
$60.11
PnL
-$12.31
Record
35%
579-1062 (1641)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$43.41
Value
$44.7
PnL
+$1.29
Record
35%
522-960 (1482)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$20.22
Value
—
PnL
-$20.22
Record
53%
1194-1050 (2244)
AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100Invested
$14.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
49%
3410-3533 (6943)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$3.04
Value
$4.16
PnL
+$1.12
Record
61%
1965-1241 (3206)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2.9
Value
—
PnL
-$2.9
Record
58%
1912-1406 (3318)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.61
Value
—
PnL
-$0.61
Record
46%
582-670 (1252)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
38%
680-1107 (1787)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x915b4e63...a02fe4
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794434700