Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$77.34
-$6.73
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 68.2Β’ | $29.28 | $31.95 | +$2.67 | 34% 544-1035 (1579) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 68.2Β’ | $21.79 | $31.95 | +$10.17 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 9Β’ | $7.5 | β | -$7.5 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 75.6Β’ | $23.07 | $19.39 | -$3.68 | 49% 3341-3455 (6796) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 72.7Β’ | $10.9 | $15 | +$4.1 | 53% 1124-990 (2114) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 44Β’ | $9.05 | β | -$9.05 | 52% 3643-3416 (7059) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82.3Β’ | $6.46 | $6 | +$0.7 | 61% 1857-1168 (3025) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 66% 1638-859 (2497) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Down | $3.9 | β | +$1 | 58% 1791-1312 (3103) |
Invested
$29.28
Value
$31.95
PnL
+$2.67
Record
34%
544-1035 (1579)
Both legs:
Invested
$23.07
Value
$19.39
PnL
-$3.68
Record
49%
3341-3455 (6796)
Invested
$10.9
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.1
Record
53%
1124-990 (2114)
Invested
$9.05
Value
β
PnL
-$9.05
Record
52%
3643-3416 (7059)
Invested
$6.46
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.7
Record
61%
1857-1168 (3025)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
66%
1638-859 (2497)
Invested
$3.9
Value
β
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
1791-1312 (3103)