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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$218.98

Combined PnL

-$9.21

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$218.98

Total Shares219

Combined PnL-$1.21

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares368

Combined PnL-$8

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 99¢	$95.35	$96.29	+$0.94	35% 429-801 (1230)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 99¢	$83.87	$73.25	+$0.52	39% 508-784 (1292)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 99¢	$51.01	$47.44	-$3.57	34% 505-980 (1485)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 12¢	$0.6	—	-$0.6	49% 3233-3339 (6572)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.86	—	-$0.86	46% 487-576 (1063)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$0.9	—	-$0.9	58% 1605-1176 (2781)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 55¢	$1.1	$2	+$0.9	61% 1683-1060 (2743)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 2.5¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	51% 1009-957 (1966)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 1.7¢	$5.18	—	-$5.18	38% 369-603 (972)

Invested

$95.35

Value

$96.29

PnL

+$0.94

Record

35%

429-801 (1230)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$83.87

Value

$73.25

PnL

+$0.52

Record

39%

508-784 (1292)

Invested

$51.01

Value

$47.44

PnL

-$3.57

Record

34%

505-980 (1485)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

49%

3233-3339 (6572)

Invested

$0.86

Value

—

PnL

-$0.86

Record

46%

487-576 (1063)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

58%

1605-1176 (2781)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.1

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.9

Record

61%

1683-1060 (2743)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

51%

1009-957 (1966)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$5.18

Value

—

PnL

-$5.18

Record

38%

369-603 (972)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdd3d8b0a...a29a0b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794400500

Traders in this Market

pspspsps5

Up — $96.29

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $73.25

13897651

Up — $47.44

asdcaxz

Down — $0

0x50f7

Down — $0

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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