Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 60%
$133.34
-$74.17
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 62.7¢ | $79.05 | $72.82 | +$1.47 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 68.3¢ | $68.01 | — | -$68.01 | 33% 469-955 (1424) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 54.8¢ | $39.22 | $40.52 | +$1.3 | 49% 3158-3267 (6425) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $9.68 | — | -$9.68 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.6 | $10 | +$8.4 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 70.3¢ | $17.79 | — | -$11.52 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.4¢ | $6.97 | — | -$6.97 | 38% 449-718 (1167) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $2.2 | $10 | +$7.8 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $19.6 | — | +$3.1 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 39% 547-873 (1420) |
Invested
$79.05
Value
$72.82
PnL
+$1.47
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$68.01
Value
—
PnL
-$68.01
Record
33%
469-955 (1424)
Invested
$39.22
Value
$40.52
PnL
+$1.3
Record
49%
3158-3267 (6425)
Invested
$9.68
Value
—
PnL
-$9.68
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.4
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
Invested
$17.79
Value
—
PnL
-$11.52
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.97
Value
—
PnL
-$6.97
Record
38%
449-718 (1167)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.8
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Invested
$19.6
Value
—
PnL
+$3.1
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
39%
547-873 (1420)