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DownUp
OhioRiskManagement<$100DownUpDownUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$69.45
Combined PnL
-$29.91
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$69.45
Total Shares69
Combined PnL-$1.24
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$28.66
Down β 43%Up β 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 66Β’ | $53 | $49.11 | -$3.89 | 33% 452-936 (1388) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.2Β’ | $24.56 | β | -$24.56 | 53% 897-807 (1704) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $14.57 | $13 | -$1.57 | 37% 413-690 (1103) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.8Β’ | $10.6 | β | -$0.02 | 49% 3117-3227 (6344) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 33Β’ | $3.12 | $7.34 | +$4.22 | 52% 3430-3194 (6624) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 23.9Β’ | $4.08 | β | -$3.76 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $0.32 | β | -$0.32 | 58% 1420-1016 (2436) |
13
13897651<$100Invested
$53
Value
$49.11
PnL
-$3.89
Record
33%
452-936 (1388)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$24.56
Value
β
PnL
-$24.56
Record
53%
897-807 (1704)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$14.57
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.57
Record
37%
413-690 (1103)
AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100Invested
$10.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.02
Record
49%
3117-3227 (6344)
BL
blue.birds<$100Invested
$3.12
Value
$7.34
PnL
+$4.22
Record
52%
3430-3194 (6624)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$4.08
Value
β
PnL
-$3.76
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
β
PnL
-$0.32
Record
58%
1420-1016 (2436)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3db80443...56c2a3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794378300