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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$102.7
Combined PnL
-$88.63
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares182
Combined PnL-$85.65
Down3 traders
Total Value$102.7
Total Shares103
Combined PnL-$2.98
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.6¢ | $45.76 | — | -$45.76 | 33% 452-936 (1388) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $70.09 | $69 | -$1.09 | 52% 3430-3194 (6624) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 62.4¢ | $34.92 | $30.75 | -$4.17 | 49% 3117-3227 (6344) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.4¢ | $27.69 | — | -$27.69 | 53% 897-807 (1704) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $11.31 | — | -$10.97 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.23 | — | -$1.23 | 45% 694-845 (1539) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $2.94 | +$2.27 | 58% 1420-1016 (2436) |
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$45.76
Value
—
PnL
-$45.76
Record
33%
452-936 (1388)
BL
blue.birds<$100Invested
$70.09
Value
$69
PnL
-$1.09
Record
52%
3430-3194 (6624)
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$34.92
Value
$30.75
PnL
-$4.17
Record
49%
3117-3227 (6344)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$27.69
Value
—
PnL
-$27.69
Record
53%
897-807 (1704)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$11.31
Value
—
PnL
-$10.97
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1.23
Record
45%
694-845 (1539)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
$2.94
PnL
+$2.27
Record
58%
1420-1016 (2436)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xde6f0239...c30e78
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794378000