Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 55%
$160.2
-$12.52
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $77.61 | $78.58 | +$0.97 | 33% 452-936 (1388) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $48 | $50 | +$2 | 98% 1426-30 (1456) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $18.92 | $20 | +$1.08 | 52% 3430-3194 (6624) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 60.1¢ | $6.98 | $6.62 | +$0.85 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $7.37 | — | -$7.37 | 49% 3117-3227 (6344) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $9.8 | $5 | +$4.57 | 58% 1420-1016 (2436) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 34% 362-713 (1075) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.2¢ | $9.59 | — | -$9.59 | 45% 712-884 (1596) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 39% 529-840 (1369) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 53% 897-807 (1704) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.8¢ | $1.89 | — | -$1.89 | 37% 413-690 (1103) |
Invested
$77.61
Value
$78.58
PnL
+$0.97
Record
33%
452-936 (1388)
Invested
$48
Value
$50
PnL
+$2
Record
98%
1426-30 (1456)
Invested
$18.92
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.08
Record
52%
3430-3194 (6624)
Invested
$6.98
Value
$6.62
PnL
+$0.85
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
Invested
$7.37
Value
—
PnL
-$7.37
Record
49%
3117-3227 (6344)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.57
Record
58%
1420-1016 (2436)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
34%
362-713 (1075)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$9.59
Value
—
PnL
-$9.59
Record
45%
712-884 (1596)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
39%
529-840 (1369)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
53%
897-807 (1704)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.89
Value
—
PnL
-$1.89
Record
37%
413-690 (1103)