Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Up 67%
$125.73
-$17.7
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $61.74 | $59.48 | -$2.26 | 33% 452-936 (1388) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 88.1Β’ | $35.05 | $36.25 | +$1.2 | 53% 897-807 (1704) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 59.7Β’ | $23.72 | $30 | +$6.28 | 49% 3117-3227 (6344) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.7Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | 39% 529-840 (1369) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.7Β’ | $3.25 | β | -$0.9 | 58% 1420-1016 (2436) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 25Β’ | $3.75 | β | -$3.75 | 75% 532-179 (711) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $4 | β | -$1.81 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.1Β’ | $0.76 | β | -$0.76 | 45% 428-518 (946) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.4Β’ | $11.5 | β | -$11.5 | 52% 3430-3194 (6624) |
Invested
$61.74
Value
$59.48
PnL
-$2.26
Record
33%
452-936 (1388)
Invested
$35.05
Value
$36.25
PnL
+$1.2
Record
53%
897-807 (1704)
Invested
$23.72
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.28
Record
49%
3117-3227 (6344)
Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
39%
529-840 (1369)
Invested
$3.25
Value
β
PnL
-$0.9
Record
58%
1420-1016 (2436)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
β
PnL
-$3.75
Record
75%
532-179 (711)
Invested
$4
Value
β
PnL
-$1.81
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
Invested
$0.76
Value
β
PnL
-$0.76
Record
45%
428-518 (946)
Invested
$11.5
Value
β
PnL
-$11.5
Record
52%
3430-3194 (6624)