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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

Total Value

$42.69

Combined PnL

-$320.73

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares408

Combined PnL-$327.62

Down4 traders

Total Value$42.69

Total Shares43

Combined PnL+$6.89

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
13 13897651CTR	Upavg 56.1¢	$111.47	—	-$111.47	32% 443-928 (1371)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 39.4¢	$61.89	—	-$61.89	49% 3098-3207 (6305)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 68.2¢	$83.4	—	-$83.4	51% 877-838 (1715)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 39.9¢	$59.55	—	-$59.55	53% 882-792 (1674)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 62.1¢	$40.25	$31.67	+$1.09	52% 3416-3175 (6591)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 53¢	$5.3	$5	+$1.75	58% 1397-994 (2391)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 39¢	$1.95	$5	+$3.05	60% 908-618 (1526)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.02	$1.02	+$1	45% 423-514 (937)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 93¢	$6.58	—	-$6.58	65% 1307-699 (2006)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 71.5¢	$11.44	—	-$4.74	62% 1494-928 (2422)

Invested

$111.47

Value

—

PnL

-$111.47

Record

32%

443-928 (1371)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$61.89

Value

—

PnL

-$61.89

Record

49%

3098-3207 (6305)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$83.4

Value

—

PnL

-$83.4

Record

51%

877-838 (1715)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$59.55

Value

—

PnL

-$59.55

Record

53%

882-792 (1674)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$40.25

Value

$31.67

PnL

+$1.09

Record

52%

3416-3175 (6591)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$5.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.75

Record

58%

1397-994 (2391)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.05

Record

60%

908-618 (1526)

Invested

$0.02

Value

$1.02

PnL

+$1

Record

45%

423-514 (937)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$6.58

Value

—

PnL

-$6.58

Record

65%

1307-699 (2006)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$11.44

Value

—

PnL

-$4.74

Record

62%

1494-928 (2422)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1227bd9e...174881

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794372000

Traders in this Market

13897651

Up — $0

asdcaxz

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

blue.birds

Down — $31.67

ByteBadger92

Down — $5

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

0x50f7

Down — $1.02

asdaefef

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

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