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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

Total Value

$165.87

Combined PnL

-$101.89

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$165.87

Total Shares166

Combined PnL+$14.16

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares202

Combined PnL-$116.05

Down — 36%Up — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 66.8¢	$79.37	$76.45	+$1.28	51% 877-838 (1715)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 63.3¢	$64.05	$75.23	+$11.18	32% 443-928 (1371)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 43.2¢	$37.21	—	-$37.21	49% 3098-3207 (6305)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 42.5¢	$45.24	—	-$45.24	52% 3416-3175 (6591)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 31.3¢	$25.55	—	-$25.55	53% 882-792 (1674)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 73.1¢	$12.49	$12.18	+$1.18	62% 1494-928 (2422)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 74¢	$1.48	$2	+$0.52	65% 1307-699 (2006)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 12.4¢	$1.84	—	-$1.84	34% 358-693 (1051)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 38¢	$3.8	—	-$3.8	48% 708-758 (1466)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$11.2	—	+$0.34	58% 1397-994 (2391)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 55¢	$2.75	—	-$2.75	37% 402-671 (1073)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$79.37

Value

$76.45

PnL

+$1.28

Record

51%

877-838 (1715)

Invested

$64.05

Value

$75.23

PnL

+$11.18

Record

32%

443-928 (1371)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$37.21

Value

—

PnL

-$37.21

Record

49%

3098-3207 (6305)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$45.24

Value

—

PnL

-$45.24

Record

52%

3416-3175 (6591)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$25.55

Value

—

PnL

-$25.55

Record

53%

882-792 (1674)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$12.49

Value

$12.18

PnL

+$1.18

Record

62%

1494-928 (2422)

Invested

$1.48

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.52

Record

65%

1307-699 (2006)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.84

Value

—

PnL

-$1.84

Record

34%

358-693 (1051)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

48%

708-758 (1466)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$11.2

Value

—

PnL

+$0.34

Record

58%

1397-994 (2391)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.75

Value

—

PnL

-$2.75

Record

37%

402-671 (1073)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x600ba237...4e421d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794371700

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $76.45

13897651

Down — $75.23

asdcaxz

Up — $0

blue.birds

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.18

asdaefef

Down — $2

pspspsps5

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

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