Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$421.1
-$13.28
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $192.64 | $200.59 | +$7.95 | 32% 435-921 (1356) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $178.94 | $109.57 | -$69.38 | 53% 869-777 (1646) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 84.9¢ | $92.99 | $109.57 | +$16.58 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.8¢ | $85.96 | — | -$85.96 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $48.58 | $53.22 | +$4.64 | 49% 3081-3189 (6270) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $59.5 | $52.72 | -$6.78 | 52% 3399-3159 (6558) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.9¢ | $12.03 | — | -$11.96 | 62% 1469-913 (2382) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 37% 391-652 (1043) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 59% 1376-973 (2349) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $5.33 | — | -$5.33 | 51% 863-824 (1687) |
Invested
$192.64
Value
$200.59
PnL
+$7.95
Record
32%
435-921 (1356)
Invested
$178.94
Value
$109.57
PnL
-$69.38
Record
53%
869-777 (1646)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.58
Value
$53.22
PnL
+$4.64
Record
49%
3081-3189 (6270)
Invested
$59.5
Value
$52.72
PnL
-$6.78
Record
52%
3399-3159 (6558)
Invested
$12.03
Value
—
PnL
-$11.96
Record
62%
1469-913 (2382)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
37%
391-652 (1043)
Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
59%
1376-973 (2349)
Invested
$5.33
Value
—
PnL
-$5.33
Record
51%
863-824 (1687)