Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 50%
2 arb excluded
$469.56
-$63.31
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 86.8Β’ | $151.91 | $116.6 | -$35.31 | 53% 869-777 (1646) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 23.3Β’ | $50.67 | β | -$50.67 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 86.8Β’ | $101.24 | $116.6 | +$15.36 | |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 74.4Β’ | $187.13 | $190.81 | +$3.69 | 32% 435-921 (1356) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 30.8Β’ | $45.23 | β | -$45.23 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 74.4Β’ | $141.9 | $190.81 | +$48.92 | |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 82.2Β’ | $120.3 | $110.55 | -$7.48 | 52% 3399-3159 (6558) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.9Β’ | $51.85 | β | -$40.83 | 49% 3081-3189 (6270) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3Β’ | $28.56 | β | -$28.56 | 51% 863-824 (1687) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 43.7Β’ | $8.3 | $19 | +$10.7 | 48% 697-745 (1442) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $10.11 | $20.22 | +$10.11 | 45% 665-826 (1491) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.9Β’ | $14.06 | β | +$2.94 | 59% 1376-973 (2349) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 48.4Β’ | $12.09 | $7.38 | -$4.53 | 62% 1469-913 (2382) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 59% 895-612 (1507) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3Β’ | $2.72 | β | -$2.72 | 44% 682-863 (1545) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | $3.15 | β | -$3.15 | 65% 1284-691 (1975) |
Invested
$151.91
Value
$116.6
PnL
-$35.31
Record
53%
869-777 (1646)
Both legs:
Invested
$187.13
Value
$190.81
PnL
+$3.69
Record
32%
435-921 (1356)
Both legs:
Invested
$120.3
Value
$110.55
PnL
-$7.48
Record
52%
3399-3159 (6558)
Invested
$51.85
Value
β
PnL
-$40.83
Record
49%
3081-3189 (6270)
Invested
$28.56
Value
β
PnL
-$28.56
Record
51%
863-824 (1687)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
$19
PnL
+$10.7
Record
48%
697-745 (1442)
Invested
$10.11
Value
$20.22
PnL
+$10.11
Record
45%
665-826 (1491)
Invested
$14.06
Value
β
PnL
+$2.94
Record
59%
1376-973 (2349)
Invested
$12.09
Value
$7.38
PnL
-$4.53
Record
62%
1469-913 (2382)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
59%
895-612 (1507)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.72
Value
β
PnL
-$2.72
Record
44%
682-863 (1545)
Invested
$3.15
Value
β
PnL
-$3.15
Record
65%
1284-691 (1975)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
ARBArbitrage β excluded
blue.birds
Up β $110.55
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
Up β $19
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $20.22
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $7.38
asidjasiodja
Up β $5