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DownUpDownUpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$122.29
Combined PnL
-$138.68
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$122.29
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$7.9
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares188
Combined PnL-$130.78
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $68.87 | $67 | +$0.63 | 49% 2927-3042 (5969) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.5¢ | $62.13 | — | -$62.13 | 53% 739-648 (1387) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 68.9¢ | $52.62 | $44 | -$7.27 | 52% 3251-3011 (6262) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.9¢ | $47.24 | — | -$47.24 | 30% 364-865 (1229) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.1¢ | $18.78 | — | -$18.78 | 53% 760-675 (1435) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.5¢ | $12.7 | $11.29 | -$1.26 | 61% 1214-784 (1998) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.62 | — | -$2.62 | 58% 1119-809 (1928) |
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$68.87
Value
$67
PnL
+$0.63
Record
49%
2927-3042 (5969)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$62.13
Value
—
PnL
-$62.13
Record
53%
739-648 (1387)
BL
blue.birds<$100Invested
$52.62
Value
$44
PnL
-$7.27
Record
52%
3251-3011 (6262)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$47.24
Value
—
PnL
-$47.24
Record
30%
364-865 (1229)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$18.78
Value
—
PnL
-$18.78
Record
53%
760-675 (1435)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.7
Value
$11.29
PnL
-$1.26
Record
61%
1214-784 (1998)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2.62
Value
—
PnL
-$2.62
Record
58%
1119-809 (1928)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0f2a7060...074ea8
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794342300