Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 56%
$188.91
-$20.19
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $93.71 | $87.11 | -$6.59 | 30% 364-865 (1229) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 55.1¢ | $54.08 | $54.76 | +$0.68 | 49% 2927-3042 (5969) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $27.49 | $39 | +$11.51 | 52% 3251-3011 (6262) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.9¢ | $15.36 | — | -$15.36 | 53% 739-648 (1387) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $9.46 | $8.03 | -$1.43 | 61% 1214-784 (1998) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $14 | — | -$6.9 | 58% 1119-809 (1928) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.5¢ | $1.46 | — | -$1.46 | 44% 574-732 (1306) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 45% 344-425 (769) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 35% 277-519 (796) |
Invested
$93.71
Value
$87.11
PnL
-$6.59
Record
30%
364-865 (1229)
Invested
$54.08
Value
$54.76
PnL
+$0.68
Record
49%
2927-3042 (5969)
Invested
$27.49
Value
$39
PnL
+$11.51
Record
52%
3251-3011 (6262)
Invested
$15.36
Value
—
PnL
-$15.36
Record
53%
739-648 (1387)
Invested
$9.46
Value
$8.03
PnL
-$1.43
Record
61%
1214-784 (1998)
Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
58%
1119-809 (1928)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.46
Value
—
PnL
-$1.46
Record
44%
574-732 (1306)
Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
45%
344-425 (769)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
35%
277-519 (796)