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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

Total Value

$85.24

Combined PnL

-$223.53

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$85.24

Total Shares85

Combined PnL+$12.23

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares351

Combined PnL-$235.75

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$60.76	$62	+$1.24	98% 1174-26 (1200)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 71¢	$46.36	—	-$41.66	49% 2927-3042 (5969)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 34.9¢	$97.63	—	-$89.08	53% 739-648 (1387)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 48.9¢	$35.86	—	-$35.86	30% 364-865 (1229)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 52.5¢	$40.7	—	-$40.7	52% 3251-3011 (6262)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 65.8¢	$18.55	—	-$18.55	53% 760-675 (1435)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 34¢	$9.9	—	-$9.9	49% 586-622 (1208)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 61.7¢	$7.54	$10.05	+$2.51	61% 1214-784 (1998)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 60¢	$4.91	$8.19	+$3.28	38% 432-691 (1123)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 22¢	$9.8	$5	+$5.2	58% 1119-809 (1928)

Invested

$60.76

Value

$62

PnL

+$1.24

Record

98%

1174-26 (1200)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$46.36

Value

—

PnL

-$41.66

Record

49%

2927-3042 (5969)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$97.63

Value

—

PnL

-$89.08

Record

53%

739-648 (1387)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$35.86

Value

—

PnL

-$35.86

Record

30%

364-865 (1229)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$40.7

Value

—

PnL

-$40.7

Record

52%

3251-3011 (6262)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$18.55

Value

—

PnL

-$18.55

Record

53%

760-675 (1435)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$9.9

Value

—

PnL

-$9.9

Record

49%

586-622 (1208)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.54

Value

$10.05

PnL

+$2.51

Record

61%

1214-784 (1998)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.91

Value

$8.19

PnL

+$3.28

Record

38%

432-691 (1123)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$9.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$5.2

Record

58%

1119-809 (1928)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x30edfed4...a81454

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794340200

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $62

asdcaxz

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

13897651

Up — $0

blue.birds

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $10.05

antsaslyku

Down — $8.19

ByteBadger92

Down — $5

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